Modern Careers

The Boomers Are The Original Job Hoppers

We measure our lives against a theoretical career trajectory and then beat ourselves up when it doesn’t go to plan. I’ve been wondering for a long time if there was good data on the reality of work throughout a lifetime.

Luckily, I stumbled upon some from 2025, which is a longitudinal study of ~10,000 Americans born 1957–64. Researchers followed them week by week from age 18 to 58 to see what really happened.

I broke down the data with Claude and found a number of interesting insights.

Across ages 18 to 58, the average person was employed 78% of weeks. The other 22% went to unemployment and time outside the labor force.

Even the most employable Americans never worked a full career: 85% of weeks for college grads, just 58% for dropouts.

Share of weeks by labor-force status, ages 18–58

BLS NLSY79, Table 3

The labor force never counted what women actually did: they sat outside it 24% of weeks, double men’s 12%, and nearly half the time without a diploma.

Weeks not in the labor force

BLS NLSY79, Table 3 · women by education, vs all men

The “prime working years” are a myth: even at their steadiest, 35–44, Americans had no job 17% of weeks, climbing to 32% when young and 28% by 58.

Share of weeks not employed, by age

BLS NLSY79 · unemployed plus out of the labor force

0% 17% 35% 32% 20% 17% 21% 28% 18–24 25–34 35–44 45–54 55–58

Steady work is the exception: Americans averaged 5.9 separate unemployment spells in a lifetime, and 8.1 for high-school dropouts.

Unemployment spells, ages 18–56

BLS NLSY79 supplemental tables

Average of 5.9 spells overall. A third of dropouts had 10 or more.

Most jobs are short-lived: 61% of those started before age 25 ended within a year, and even after 45, one in five did.

Jobs ending within a year, by age the job started

BLS NLSY79

A degree buys higher pay and steadier work, but not fewer fresh starts: dropouts and graduates each held about 13 jobs.

Jobs held across a career, by education

BLS NLSY79, Table 1 · average jobs, ages 18–58

Over 40% of all jobs come before age 25.

The résumé gap you’re afraid to explain is on most résumés: 62% of workers have taken a career break, and 69% of women.

Career breaks, self-reported

LinkedIn survey of ~23,000 workers, January 2022

62%
have taken a career break at some point
69%
of U.S. women have taken one
35%
would like to take one in the future

Black Americans weren’t employed less because they quit more: they worked 68% of weeks to white workers’ 79%, a gap that nearly vanishes once both hold a degree.

Weeks employed, by race and ethnicity

BLS NLSY79, Table 4 · ages 18–58

Unemployment ran 7.9% of weeks for Black workers, against 3.7% for White. Among bachelor's holders the gap nearly closes: every group lands between 83% and 85% of weeks employed.

Half a year with no work is common for men: more than one in five, 22%, hit a single unemployment spell of 27 weeks or longer.

Long-term unemployment among men

BLS Monthly Labor Review, 2016 · NLSY79 men from their mid-20s on

22%
of men had a spell of 27+ weeks unemployed
1yr+
average length of that first long spell
43%
of the "unaffected" still had a short spell

The body ends the career the market didn’t: by 58, health limits work for 23% overall, and half of all high-school dropouts against 11% of graduates.

Health-related work limits, by age

BLS NLSY79 · share reporting a health-related work limitation

0% 12% 25% 4% 5% 10% 19% 23% Age 24 34 44 54 58
By 58, about 50% of those without a high-school diploma report a work-limiting health condition, against 11% of college graduates.

The gap-free career was never the standard. Even the healthy, credentialed people at the top never reached it.

Notes on the data

  • One cohort. Born 1957–64, U.S. only. Younger generations break more, not less.
  • 78%, corrected. The draft I started from said 77%. BLS states 78% employed, 4% unemployed, 18% not in the labor force. I used 78.
  • Mixed sources. The 62% and 69% career-break figures are a 2022 LinkedIn self-report, not the NLSY79. Different group, different decade.
  • Some cells trusted, not re-derived. Exact spell counts (8.1, 6.5, 4.4), health by education, and the long-term-unemployment figures come from BLS supplemental tables and a 2016 Monthly Labor Review article. The shapes are solid. Hold the last decimal loosely.

Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Number of Jobs, Labor Market Experience, Marital Status, and Health for Those Born 1957–1964, National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979, released August 26, 2025 (USDL-25-1322), Tables 1, 3, and 4. Unemployment-spell distribution from BLS NLSY79 supplemental tables. Long-term-unemployment figures from BLS, An Analysis of Long-Term Unemployment, Monthly Labor Review, 2016. Self-report figures from a LinkedIn career-break survey of roughly 23,000 workers, January 2022. The NLSY79 follows one cohort born 1957–64 in the United States; younger cohorts almost certainly break more often, not less.

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